Agonizing-Cygnet
0xc44957c460ebf6962ac5f49d2fc04b1aaed62b31
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$-6.71
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Israel military action against Iran in July?
88699 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-802.37
- YES
Israel strikes Iran before August?
23764 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-213.73
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by October 3?
11652 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-144.15
- NO
Will Trump say "Iran" during the State of the Union address?
1835 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-55.04
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by September 30?
1068 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-15.92
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by October 31?
333 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-49.94
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during the State of the Union address?$1.73Feb 25, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during the State of the Union address?$0.32Feb 25, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during the State of the Union address?$0.15Feb 25, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during the State of the Union address?$0.15Feb 25, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during the State of the Union address?$36.62Feb 25, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during the State of the Union address?$0.66Feb 25, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during the State of the Union address?$4.72Feb 25, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during the State of the Union address?$0.03Feb 25, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during the State of the Union address?$10.67Feb 25, 02:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? $925.32Dec 10, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? $118.59Dec 10, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? $172.00Dec 10, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? $172.00Dec 10, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? $163.41Dec 10, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? $172.17Dec 10, 21:24 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$798.16Dec 10, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$759.02Dec 9, 15:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$759.02Dec 9, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$287.46Dec 7, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$279.14Dec 7, 17:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $91.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 31, 18:59 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 25, 03:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".