Definite-Might
0xc44b3ee72e36d1000103ff900c7c0e306337c28a
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$8.86
Total PnL
$-2.9K
Realised
$121.23
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will StandX launch a token by March 31?
9 shares @ 97.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$8.86
$0.26
- YES
Lighter Airdrop on December 21?
19999 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will APT (Rosé and Bruno Mars) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
2537 shares @ 16.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-426.42
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 7AM ET
2250 shares @ 35.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-805.10
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 11, 9PM ET
2116 shares @ 50.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 13, 12PM ET
588 shares @ 49.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-289.32
- YES
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
579 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-34.24
- YES
Lighter Airdrop on December 31?
200 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-7.40
- YES
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?
200 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-56.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 12PM ET
200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBackpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?$43.10Mar 24, 09:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBackpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?$0.70Mar 24, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?$52.12Mar 21, 14:28 UTC
- TRADESELLEdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?$33.76Mar 20, 03:34 UTC
- TRADESELLEdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?$29.17Mar 19, 14:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBackpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?$17.00Mar 19, 08:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBackpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?$17.00Mar 19, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?$58.74Mar 19, 02:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBackpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?$51.75Mar 17, 05:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBackpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?$13.75Mar 16, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?$27.00Mar 16, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?$22.00Mar 16, 09:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Backpack launch a token by March 31?$133.86Mar 12, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?$40.78Mar 11, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Backpack launch a token by March 31?$37.07Mar 11, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Backpack launch a token by March 31?$74.95Mar 11, 13:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Backpack launch a token by March 31?$33.75Mar 11, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Backpack launch a token by March 31?$18.80Mar 11, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Backpack launch a token by March 31?$26.40Mar 11, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Backpack launch a token by March 31?$4.36Mar 11, 13:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $32.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 27, 12:34 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 24, 09:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".