Verifiable-Total
0xc450b68119ae409363cd2b3b953423f2a2ee7172
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
45
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- YES
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
103071 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-721.50
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8911 shares @ 10.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-899.99
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5357 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-149.99
- NO
Will Kylian Mbappé be in France's Starting 11?
750 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Will Lionel Messi be in Argentina's Starting 11?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Vitinha be in Portugal's Starting 11?
71 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Bruno Fernandes be in Portugal's Starting 11?
59 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Emiliano Martínez be in Argentina's Starting 11?
52 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will João Neves be in Portugal's Starting 11?
45 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?
43 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03Jul 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 8, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 4, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 3, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 2, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?$4.10Jul 1, 16:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 1, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 30, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jun 28, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jun 24, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
19 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $49.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 16, 22:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.