Innocent-Rush
0xc451017789fcf171e04a0e42d5e0bf083c2f2609
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$36.7K
Total PnL
$-17.4K
Realised
$-4.7K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
39676 shares @ 78.3¢·now 92.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$36.7K
$5.6K
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
13838 shares @ 28.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.9K
- NO
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?
13722 shares @ 32.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.4K
- YES
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?
12521 shares @ 64.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-8.1K
- NO
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?
2954 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-827.45
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
1767 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-865.81
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
558 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-145.08
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
345 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$4.2K52d ago
- REDEEMWill Marty Supreme make 70 million or more domestically by January 31?$100.2454d ago
- REDEEMWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?$378.5154d ago
- REDEEMWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$2.2K54d ago
- REDEEMWill anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?$10.2K54d ago
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?$2.8K54d ago
- TRADESELLWill xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$1.6774d ago
- TRADESELLWill xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$30.4274d ago
- TRADESELLWill xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$1.0074d ago
- TRADESELLWill xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$119.1274d ago
- TRADESELLWill xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$157.4078d ago
- TRADESELLWill xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$53.9878d ago
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?$102.00111d ago
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?$2.00111d ago
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?$120.80111d ago
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?$9.00112d ago
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?$157.53112d ago
- REWARD$6.33114d ago
- TRADEBUYWill anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?$745.24114d ago
- TRADEBUYWill anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?$15.45114d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $273.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 114d ago
- Last active
- 52d ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.