Innocent-Rush
0xc451017789fcf171e04a0e42d5e0bf083c2f2609
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$36.7K
Total PnL
$-17.4K
Realised
$-4.7K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
39676 shares @ 78.3¢·now 92.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$36.7K
$5.6K
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
13838 shares @ 28.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.9K
- NO
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?
13722 shares @ 32.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.4K
- YES
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?
12521 shares @ 64.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-8.1K
- NO
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?
2954 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-827.45
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
1767 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-865.81
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
558 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-145.08
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
345 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$4.2KMar 5, 05:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Marty Supreme make 70 million or more domestically by January 31?$100.24Mar 3, 06:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?$378.51Mar 3, 06:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$2.2KMar 3, 06:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?$10.2KMar 3, 06:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?$2.8KMar 2, 11:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$1.67Feb 10, 16:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$30.42Feb 10, 12:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$1.00Feb 10, 11:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$119.12Feb 10, 10:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$157.40Feb 6, 18:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$53.98Feb 6, 18:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?$102.00Jan 5, 07:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?$2.00Jan 5, 02:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?$120.80Jan 4, 19:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?$9.00Jan 3, 11:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?$157.53Jan 3, 10:49 UTC
- REWARD$6.33Jan 2, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?$745.24Jan 1, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?$15.45Jan 1, 20:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $273.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 1, 14:28 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 5, 05:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.