Perky-Chauvinist
0xc45193d8c131423b1d5f242e5ba0ee99a71aee23
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$687.54
Total PnL
$-307.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?
263 shares @ 19.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$263.16
$213.16
- NO
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?
138 shares @ 72.3¢·now 96.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$133.11
$33.11
- NO
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?
93 shares @ 88.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$66.16
$-15.84
- NO
Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?
63 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$62.52
$22.52
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
60 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$59.57
$3.57
- NO
Costco increases hotdog price before 2027?
59 shares @ 94.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$54.12
$-0.88
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?
44 shares @ 82.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$43.57
$7.57
- YES
Costco increases hotdog price before 2027?
71 shares @ 53.6¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.32
$-32.68
- YES
Will Gold close at $2,500-2,600 at the end of 2025?
19500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-39.00
- YES
Will the November 2025 unemployment rate be 4.2%?
2613 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-47.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMTrump enacts a de minimis crypto tax exemption before 2026?$33.39Mar 3, 21:57 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?$36.83Mar 3, 21:57 UTC
- REDEEMXi Jinping out in 2025?$38.50Mar 3, 21:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?$40.38Mar 3, 21:57 UTC
- REDEEMTrump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto in 2025?$41.54Mar 3, 21:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?$43.04Mar 3, 21:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?$72.22Mar 3, 21:57 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?$73.23Mar 3, 21:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.00Jan 2, 16:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the November 2025 unemployment rate be ≤4.1%?$32.10Dec 26, 13:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$103.09Dec 13, 14:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill monthly inflation be between 1.5% and 1.7% in November?$44.04Dec 13, 14:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nik Airball be the biggest winner in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?$0.00Dec 6, 13:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$0.00Dec 6, 13:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alan Keating be the biggest loser in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?$0.00Dec 6, 13:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Huliaipole by December 15?$0.00Dec 6, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alan Keating be the biggest loser in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?$89.00Dec 3, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nik Airball be the biggest winner in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?$58.94Dec 3, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYCostco increases hotdog price before 2027?$38.00Dec 3, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$56.00Dec 3, 02:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $51.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 3, 01:39 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 3, 21:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".