Wealthy-Freedom
0xc4531b3ba99ad22d620f283b4e925f688d9aa29c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
53
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$9.77
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- YES
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?
4417 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-542.90
- NO
Grokipedia released by October 31?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
435 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-73.73
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
88 shares @ 41.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-36.35
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
88 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-55.44
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
66 shares @ 45.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
59 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Seeker FDV above $150M one day after launch?
50 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-37.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
48 shares @ 31.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
43 shares @ 46.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$50.86Apr 15, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$14.81Apr 8, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$2.70Apr 8, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$0.81Apr 8, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 5 days or more?$3.00Feb 3, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 5 days or more?$57.00Feb 3, 00:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the government shutdown last 6 days or more?$57.40Feb 3, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 5 days or more?$150.80Feb 2, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 6 days or more?$139.40Feb 2, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 5 days or more?$3.60Feb 1, 23:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the government shutdown last 7 days or more?$4.00Feb 1, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 7 days or more?$6.00Feb 1, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 5 days or more?$71.39Feb 1, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 5 days or more?$26.86Feb 1, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 5 days or more?$2.70Feb 1, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 5 days or more?$227.55Feb 1, 15:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the government shutdown last 1 day or more?$19.68Jan 31, 01:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$1.17Jan 30, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$1.17Jan 30, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 1 day or more?$11.40Jan 30, 01:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $91.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 13, 05:10 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 15, 06:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.