Oval-Nightingale
0xc45d4c761dfa856323bbeabe3bf7193e2e9718d1
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$106.11
Total PnL
$-10.15
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 5?
106 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$106.11
$0.11
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 27?
1050 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-3.15
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 19?
1021 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.04
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
1020 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.06
- YES
Will the price of XRP be less than $2.10 on October 20?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump’s approval rating be <43.5% on September 26?
37 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 5?$106.01Jun 5, 11:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 25?$106.11Jun 5, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 25?$106.01May 25, 11:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 21?$106.11May 25, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 21?$106.01May 21, 09:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?$106.11May 21, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?$106.01May 15, 11:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?$106.11May 15, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?$106.01May 9, 13:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C or higher on May 6?$105.11May 9, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C or higher on May 6?$105.01May 6, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$105.11May 6, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$105.01Apr 29, 11:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 19?$105.10Apr 29, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 19?$105.00Apr 19, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 19?$2.20Apr 19, 09:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 16?$107.10Apr 19, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 16?$107.00Apr 16, 09:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 11°C on April 12?$107.10Apr 16, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 11°C on April 12?$107.00Apr 12, 06:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $94.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 3, 08:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 11:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.