Worn-Pony
0xc465cb87ca06777630e549bf497464e39f70f704
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$81.94
Total PnL
$-341.85
Realised
$-6.08
Win rate
0%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-06 House seat?
43 shares @ 92.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$41.27
$1.72
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?
11 shares @ 91.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$10.29
$0.28
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-04 House seat?
9 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.3¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$8.84
$0.03
- YES
Will Cincinnati Bengals win the 2026 AFC North?
9 shares @ 33.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jan 4, 2027$2.82
$-0.13
- NO
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
5 shares @ 48.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.72
$0.08
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the VA-06 House seat?
3 shares @ 83.5¢·now 74.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.21
$-0.27
- YES
Will Baltimore Ravens win the 2026 AFC North?
4 shares @ 51.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jan 4, 2027$2.04
$-0.25
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
38 shares @ 3.6¢·now 5.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.99
$0.63
- YES
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
105 shares @ 1.3¢·now 1.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.52
$0.16
- YES
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
195 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.46
$0.10
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Sholdon Daniels be the Republican Nominee for TX-30?$1.77May 23, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Dplus KIA vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$3.22May 23, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Chicago White Sox (-3.5)$2.46May 23, 11:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party win the VA-06 House seat?$5.68May 23, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Dplus KIA vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$3.49May 23, 11:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?$3.50May 23, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Dplus KIA vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$5.71May 23, 11:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Baltimore Ravens win the 2026 AFC North?$1.97May 23, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$5.11May 22, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYGame Handicap: IG (-2.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+2.5)$6.25May 22, 11:39 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B$12.90May 22, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sholdon Daniels be the Republican Nominee for TX-30?$0.04May 22, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sholdon Daniels be the Republican Nominee for TX-30?$3.35May 22, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sholdon Daniels be the Republican Nominee for TX-30?$4.42May 22, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYGame Handicap: IG (-2.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+2.5)$7.05May 22, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B$11.36May 22, 07:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party win the VA-06 House seat?$4.99May 22, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B$5.00May 22, 06:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party win the VA-06 House seat?$5.04May 22, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B$5.03May 22, 06:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $5.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 22:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 22:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.