Lumpy-Cultivar
0xc46c1e10dc6f48669f2881a1e539c9feeb526e84
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-21.40
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 28?
2050 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.10
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
1200 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-3.60
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?
1200 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-2.40
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 16?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 27?
700 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on December 31?
700 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
550 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.10
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on November 16?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- BUCKS
Bucks vs. Wizards
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NUGGETS
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$85.08Jun 12, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$85.00Jun 10, 01:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$85.08Jun 9, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$85.00Jun 6, 03:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 1?$84.97Jun 1, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 1?$84.90Jun 1, 08:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?$84.08Jun 1, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?$84.01May 26, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?$84.08May 20, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?$84.01May 20, 01:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$84.08May 18, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$84.00May 16, 05:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$84.08May 15, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$84.00May 13, 03:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 12?$84.08May 12, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 12?$84.01May 10, 11:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$84.08May 10, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$84.00May 7, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.22May 7, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meituan have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.32May 7, 06:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $66.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 01:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 18:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.