Agreeable-Ecclesia
0xc46d3f2afa3d399df13dc8ea9f6a327c404c04c1
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-262.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?
51380 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-102.76
- NO
Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?
50000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the US strike Iran next?
128 shares @ 13.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-16.80
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
43 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-19.69
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
31 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
19 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 36°F or higher on January 16?
17 shares @ 29.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on January 17?
13 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on January 17?
11 shares @ 61.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?$13.75Feb 7, 13:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$3.40Feb 7, 13:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?$10.35Feb 7, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?$49.96Feb 7, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?$6.10Feb 7, 13:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$6.10Feb 7, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?$18.95Feb 7, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?$14.00Feb 7, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?$100.00Feb 7, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Iran next?$16.80Jan 26, 11:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$3.15Jan 26, 10:57 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$7.09Jan 26, 10:57 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$5.64Jan 26, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$1.00Jan 18, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$1.00Jan 18, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$1.00Jan 18, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$1.00Jan 18, 10:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$2.18Jan 18, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?$0.00Jan 18, 09:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$0.00Jan 18, 09:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $8.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 15, 14:57 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 7, 13:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.