Unnatural-Minnow
0xc4729250e6d70186a32946dcfff868342316b96c
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
66
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-24.05
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 66- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 24?
2500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C or higher on March 31?
976 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-40.45
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 20?
653 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-25.14
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on March 23?
500 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-12.95
- OVER
Miami Marlins vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5
394 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-189.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on March 25?
332 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-6.64
- NO
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 76°F or higher on March 29?
249 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-17.44
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 6°C on March 29?
224 shares @ 59.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-132.63
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on March 29?
206 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.06
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C or higher on March 30?
205 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-17.46
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$1.05Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 329: Cody Garbrandt vs. Adrian Yanez (Bantamweight, Prelims)$4.2KJul 12, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Cody Garbrandt vs. Adrian Yanez (Bantamweight, Prelims)$3.4KJul 11, 17:56 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$10.00Jul 9, 21:42 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)$402.13Jul 6, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)$192.01Jul 6, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiami Marlins vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5$191.95Jul 5, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Colombia (-1.5)$76.54Jul 4, 00:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on March 31?$4.95Jul 4, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLFed rate hike in 2026?$3.0KJul 4, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$83.99Jul 4, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on March 29?$4.00Mar 31, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C or higher on March 30?$0.36Mar 30, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C or higher on March 30?$1.00Mar 30, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C or higher on March 31?$0.04Mar 30, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 30?$0.83Mar 30, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C or higher on March 31?$0.04Mar 30, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C or higher on March 30?$0.60Mar 30, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 30?$0.14Mar 30, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C or higher on March 31?$0.04Mar 30, 02:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $157.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 30, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.