Unsightly-Goal
0xc47e006ab72cb00acbae5baf16e8ae000bb50fc4
Wallet digest
Activity score
37/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-496.62
Realised
$-11.50
Win rate
18%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 3?
380 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-24.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 24?
200 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-28.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C or higher on May 23?
157 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-14.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 1?
100 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on June 12?
100 shares @ 11.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-11.88
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 5?
95 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-11.40
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 9?
76 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-64.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 31?
73 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-37.32
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 28?
72 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-22.31
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 31?
71 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-18.36
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 12?$3.64Jun 12, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on June 12?$0.99Jun 12, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on June 12?$0.68Jun 12, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on June 12?$10.67Jun 12, 02:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on June 12?$6.10Jun 12, 02:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 12?$3.02Jun 12, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on June 12?$6.96Jun 12, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on June 12?$6.79Jun 12, 01:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 12?$5.77Jun 12, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 12?$3.36Jun 11, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 11?$43.30Jun 11, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 12?$1.75Jun 11, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 12?$5.38Jun 11, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 12?$3.61Jun 11, 05:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 11?$1.11Jun 11, 03:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 11?$8.69Jun 11, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 11?$23.12Jun 11, 00:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 10?$9.07Jun 10, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 10?$4.08Jun 10, 02:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 10?$1.94Jun 10, 01:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
35/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
18% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $6.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 07:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 03:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.