Fluid-Maniac
0xc48b3f6e2b8adb0fc50140768b5c2c8a22596c1e
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$842.29
Total PnL
$-70.71
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- ILIA TOPURIA
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
240 shares @ 83.5¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$192.82
$-7.18
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
111 shares @ 90.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$105.00
$5.00
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
105 shares @ 95.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$104.26
$4.26
- YES
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?
135 shares @ 74.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$103.38
$3.38
- YES
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?
145 shares @ 69.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$93.48
$-6.52
- YES
Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?
127 shares @ 79.0¢·now 72.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$91.14
$-8.86
- YES
Will Ilia Topuria be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
118 shares @ 84.6¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$80.93
$-19.07
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
22 shares @ 91.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.89
$-0.11
- NO
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for Real Madrid next?
21 shares @ 97.0¢·now 92.1¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$18.99
$-1.01
- YES
Will Samsara (IOT) beat quarterly earnings?
10 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$10.20
$0.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$15.09Jun 12, 17:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$21.43Jun 11, 23:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lennar (LEN) beat quarterly earnings?$4.00Jun 11, 22:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Adobe (ADBE) beat quarterly earnings?$3.05Jun 11, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$15.13Jun 11, 13:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Oracle (ORCL) beat quarterly earnings?$3.23Jun 10, 22:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Casey's General Stores (CASY) beat quarterly earnings?$3.09Jun 9, 22:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cracker Barrel Old Country Store (CBRL) beat quarterly earnings?$11.36Jun 9, 22:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Academy Sports (ASO) beat quarterly earnings?$4.48Jun 9, 14:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill JM Smucker (SJM) beat quarterly earnings?$3.11Jun 9, 13:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Designer Brands (DBI) beat quarterly earnings?$4.05Jun 9, 12:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Vail Resorts (MTN) beat quarterly earnings?$3.95Jun 8, 22:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill GameStop (GME) beat quarterly earnings?$3.61Jun 8, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lennar (LEN) beat quarterly earnings?$3.04Jun 8, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Adobe (ADBE) beat quarterly earnings?$3.00Jun 8, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RH (RH) beat quarterly earnings?$3.06Jun 8, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chewy (CHWY) beat quarterly earnings?$3.05Jun 8, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Casey's General Stores (CASY) beat quarterly earnings?$3.00Jun 8, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GameStop (GME) beat quarterly earnings?$3.03Jun 8, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JM Smucker (SJM) beat quarterly earnings?$3.01Jun 8, 14:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $56.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 17:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.