Ethical-Grouse
0xc48f188edb11eba640b933bc2027c0494ad5be1c
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$133.87
Total PnL
$-269.51
Realised
$-9.99
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- NO
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
44 shares @ 91.3¢·now 92.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$40.37
$0.37
- NO
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
44 shares @ 91.7¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$40.37
$0.37
- YES
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?
69 shares @ 58.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$38.96
$-1.04
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
250 shares @ 4.0¢·now 4.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$12.13
$2.13
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12 shares @ 16.4¢·now 16.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw?
45 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.02
$-9.98
- YES
Will Greece vs. Italy end in a draw?
107 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?
88 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?
71 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- SWITZERLAND
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)
66 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$38.46Jun 14, 02:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$20.62Jun 14, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$20.04Jun 14, 00:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$2.91Jun 14, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$5.14Jun 14, 00:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$49.68Jun 14, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$20.22Jun 14, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$20.32Jun 14, 00:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$13.16Jun 14, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$10.17Jun 14, 00:39 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Brazil (-1.5)$28.99Jun 14, 00:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$21.74Jun 14, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$20.13Jun 14, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$40.50Jun 14, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$10.18Jun 14, 00:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$12.44Jun 14, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw?$10.23Jun 14, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$10.14Jun 14, 00:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$13.70Jun 14, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$10.19Jun 14, 00:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $11.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 14:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 02:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.