Shadowy-Arrest
0xc4963aab03f7800a7a94648a0a818597b5626488
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$83.44
Total PnL
$-39.65
Realised
$-9.98
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Solana reach $160 in June?
22 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$21.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?
21 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$21.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in June?
20 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$20.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?
12 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$11.51
$0.01
- NO
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
3 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.34
$0.00
- NO
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.04
$0.00
- NO
Will XRP reach $3.00 in June?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.39
$-0.00
- NO
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?
1 shares @ 94.5¢·now 93.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.12
$-0.01
- NO
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.05
$0.00
- YES
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?
62 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-29.68
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$11.02Jun 13, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?$11.50Jun 12, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$11.00Jun 12, 06:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill XRP reach $3.00 in June?$21.58Jun 12, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $3.00 in June?$23.01Jun 10, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $160 in June?$22.00Jun 10, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,000 in June?$20.00Jun 10, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?$21.00Jun 10, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $600 in May?$0.98Jun 10, 05:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.77Jun 10, 05:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 28?$10.01Jun 10, 05:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$11.01Jun 10, 05:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $66,000 on May 30?$12.01Jun 10, 05:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?$12.01Jun 10, 05:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $10 in May?$13.01Jun 10, 05:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$13.01Jun 10, 05:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $86,000 on May 31?$13.04Jun 10, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $86,000 on May 31?$13.00May 28, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $66,000 on May 30?$12.00May 28, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 28?$10.00May 28, 05:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $14.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 07:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 18:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.