Scratchy-Downgrade
0xc4a4402806946a1432dce6db8eaee68522375949
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$200.39
Total PnL
$-224.86
Realised
$-65.64
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?
130 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$129.87
$29.87
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
68 shares @ 95.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$67.97
$2.94
- NO
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.50
$0.75
- YES
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?
1 shares @ 95.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.05
$0.05
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 5, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
750 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-7.51
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
105 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-91.06
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
103 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-92.51
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
45 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYDeepSeek V4 released by April 30?$100.00Apr 21, 08:44 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$0.45Jan 16, 00:09 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$0.00Jan 15, 17:04 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - January 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$0.01Jan 15, 16:59 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - January 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$51.81Jan 15, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$64.60Jan 15, 16:58 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$67.99Jan 15, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$7.43Jan 15, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$26.19Jan 15, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$32.33Jan 15, 14:58 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 15, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$0.00Jan 15, 14:05 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - January 15, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$0.01Jan 15, 13:59 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - January 15, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$50.96Jan 15, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 15, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$64.60Jan 15, 13:58 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - January 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$57.00Jan 15, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$61.20Jan 15, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 15, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$0.01Jan 15, 07:21 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - January 15, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$67.30Jan 15, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 15, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$65.96Jan 15, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$0.01Jan 15, 05:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $42.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 15, 01:45 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 21, 08:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".