Jaded-Query
0xc4ab3edc317fbf6f0f694af8ebefd0a4756f7e31
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
16853 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-132.65
- YES
Will International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
7751 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-84.86
- YES
Will The Bear win the Emmy for Outstanding Comedy Series?
3000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 14, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- NO
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during September press conference?
1955 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-39.39
- YES
Will Erna Solberg become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
1636 shares @ 12.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Andor win the Emmy for Outstanding Drama Series?
1500 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 14, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Renate Reinsve win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
966 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
650 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-104.00
- YES
Will Adam Scott win the Emmy for Outstanding Lead Actor in a Drama Series?
500 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 14, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Will Powell say "Pandemic" during September press conference?
393 shares @ 30.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-121.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$14.00Mar 15, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renate Reinsve win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$10.00Mar 15, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$20.00Mar 15, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Frankenstein" win exactly 4 awards at the Oscars?$5.00Mar 15, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$5.00Mar 15, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$75.00Mar 15, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$75.00Mar 15, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$20.30Oct 10, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$0.47Oct 10, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$0.10Oct 10, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$24.66Oct 10, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$0.03Oct 10, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$0.14Oct 10, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$0.13Oct 10, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$0.05Oct 10, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$0.05Oct 10, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$0.05Oct 10, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$0.20Oct 10, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$0.22Oct 10, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$0.14Oct 10, 08:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $5.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 10, 08:00 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 15, 21:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".