Frilly-Decisionmaking
0xc4af5819d4fdbec9a7c61ecdda63ab60989a1b80
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$88.42
Total PnL
$-4.56
Realised
$-0.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Will Norway vs. Estonia end in a draw?
6 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$6.07
$0.13
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be between 58-59°F on November 13?
6 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$6.06
$0.12
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on November 13?
6 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$6.05
$0.11
- NO
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.75–3.00 in October?
6 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$6.03
$0.09
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 47-48°F on November 13?
6 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$6.01
$0.07
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 57°F or higher on November 13?
6 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$6.01
$0.07
- NO
Will Estonia win on 2025-11-13?
6 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$6.01
$0.07
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on November 13?
6 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$6.01
$0.07
- NO
Will Cal Raleigh win the 2025 AL MVP?
6 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$6.00
$0.12
- NO
Will Yoshinobu Yamamoto win the 2025 NL Cy Young?
6 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$6.00
$0.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on November 13?$5.94Nov 12, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Estonia win on 2025-11-13?$5.94Nov 12, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 58-59°F on November 13?$5.94Nov 12, 15:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end November 4-7?$2.03Nov 12, 15:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cade Horton win the National League Rookie of the Year?$6.00Nov 12, 15:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nick Kurtz win the American League Rookie of the Year?$12.08Nov 12, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway vs. Estonia end in a draw?$5.94Nov 12, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 57°F or higher on November 13?$5.94Nov 12, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 66°F or higher on November 13?$5.94Nov 12, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on November 13?$5.94Nov 12, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 47-48°F on November 13?$5.94Nov 12, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a dozen eggs cost between $2.75–3.00 in October?$5.94Nov 12, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $100,000 and $102,000 on November 12?$5.89Nov 12, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cal Raleigh win the 2025 AL MVP?$0.52Nov 12, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cal Raleigh win the 2025 AL MVP?$5.36Nov 12, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cade Horton win the National League Rookie of the Year?$5.94Nov 10, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yoshinobu Yamamoto win the 2025 NL Cy Young?$5.95Nov 10, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?$1.98Nov 8, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Garrett Crochet win the 2025 AL Cy Young?$1.98Nov 8, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?$1.98Nov 8, 10:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $4.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 7, 13:08 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 12, 15:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".