Reflecting-Cereal
0xc4b6688be666b49c50d0529b0393f6c4d77c70ae
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-184.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?
722 shares @ 17.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-125.00
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?
158 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-19.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
114 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?
26 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?$15.00Dec 3, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$25.00Dec 3, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?$45.00Dec 3, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?$19.00Dec 3, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?$80.00Dec 3, 09:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $36.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 3, 09:23 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 3, 17:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".