Untrue-Alley
0xc4b784c6961e36a51fb54bab40bb90395e5ae34b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-44.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will I Just Might - Bruno Mars be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?
503 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.99
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?
326 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-8.67
- NO
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
251 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-7.03
- YES
Will I Just Might - Bruno Mars be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?
147 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.16
- YES
Will Solana reach $160 in January?
99 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-9.90
- NO
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
76 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.44
- NO
Will Netflix say "Live" or "Event" during earnings call?
50 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.71
- YES
Will "Suitcase Killer: The Melanie McGuire Story" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (January 27, 2026)
45 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-0.82
- NO
Will Benicio Del Toro be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
23 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Cookie" this week? (February 1)
19 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-9.62
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$232.06Feb 21, 05:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla (TSLA) close above $420 on February 20?$37.20Feb 20, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$229.01Feb 20, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) close above $420 on February 20?$35.20Feb 20, 11:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta (META) close above $660 on February 18?$264.21Feb 19, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta (META) close above $660 on February 18?$261.41Feb 18, 05:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "The Lincoln Lawyer: Season 4" be the top US Netflix show this week?$202.09Feb 17, 19:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "The Lincoln Lawyer: Season 4" be the top US Netflix show this week?$19.96Feb 17, 01:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "The Lincoln Lawyer: Season 4" be the top US Netflix show this week?$39.36Feb 17, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Lincoln Lawyer: Season 4" be the top US Netflix show this week?$259.33Feb 16, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$7.03Feb 15, 07:57 UTC
- REDEEMUS government shutdown Saturday?$90.80Feb 4, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$90.71Feb 2, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Opendoor (OPEN) close at $5.00-$6.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 26 – Jan 30?$90.71Jan 31, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor (OPEN) close at $5.00-$6.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 26 – Jan 30?$88.00Jan 30, 09:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Kidnapped: Elizabeth Smart" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (January 27, 2026)$88.00Jan 30, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Cookie" this week? (February 1)$9.62Jan 26, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?$2.11Jan 26, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?$0.78Jan 26, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?$0.22Jan 26, 11:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $58.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 13, 08:17 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 21, 05:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".