Favorable-Allocation
0xc4bc66ce55e6bb008ca9ed601da6f23910032bfe
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$105.47
Total PnL
$-124.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on May 30?
55 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$55.28
$0.03
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 28°C or below on May 30?
15 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$14.71
$0.01
- NO
Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
14 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$14.08
$0.01
- NO
Will OpenAI have the second-best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?
12 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$12.19
$-0.01
- CODY HADDON
UFC Fight Night: Aoriqileng vs. Cody Haddon (Bantamweight, Prelims)
9 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.23
$2.03
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on February 23?
700 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,500 on March 16?
640 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.29
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on February 6?
593 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.37
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on February 4?
570 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.28
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 16?
530 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on May 30?$55.25May 30, 05:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FC Dallas win the 2026 MLS Cup?$54.93May 30, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Dallas win the 2026 MLS Cup?$55.01May 30, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Aoriqileng vs. Cody Haddon (Bantamweight, Prelims)$7.25May 30, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the second-best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?$12.20May 30, 04:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$74.77May 30, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$74.70May 29, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 28°C or below on May 30?$14.70May 29, 07:54 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$8.49May 29, 07:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 28?$80.92May 29, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 28?$80.84May 28, 06:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sporting Kansas City win the 2026 MLS Cup?$79.91May 28, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sporting Kansas City win the 2026 MLS Cup?$80.00May 28, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$6.59May 28, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?$14.07May 28, 05:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 27?$101.59May 28, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 27?$101.50May 27, 09:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lee Un-ju win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$100.89May 27, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Un-ju win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$101.00May 27, 09:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$101.61May 27, 09:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $74.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 05:39 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 05:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".