Affectionate-Membrane
0xc4bcc1bab11e9ff768cf893f48bb6d422847ddcf
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$19.97
Total PnL
$-32.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
20 shares @ 97.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$19.97
$0.52
- YES
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 10?
24 shares @ 97.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-23.28
- NOTHING
Nothing Ever Happens: February
10 shares @ 93.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-9.30
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?$20.00Jun 14, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?$19.81Jun 13, 16:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple announce an AI-charged Siri during the WWDC 2026 keynote?$15.98Jun 8, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple announce an AI-charged Siri during the WWDC 2026 keynote?$15.54Jun 7, 18:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Nemesis" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?$19.96Jun 2, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Nemesis" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?$19.66Jun 1, 21:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$30.09Jun 1, 03:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?$14.88May 31, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?$14.57May 30, 18:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iván Cepeda win between 50% and 55% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?$15.93May 29, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$30.00May 29, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda win between 50% and 55% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?$15.54May 29, 07:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Al Green be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?$9.91May 27, 01:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?$24.75May 25, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?$24.25May 24, 05:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Ronda Rousey vs Gina Carano" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?$20.00May 19, 21:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for May 11 - May 17 be less than 16,500,000?$21.00May 18, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Ronda Rousey vs Gina Carano" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?$19.81May 18, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for May 11 - May 17 be less than 16,500,000?$20.80May 16, 03:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill annual inflation increase by 3.5% in April?$23.97May 12, 13:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $19.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 10:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 18:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.