Bumpy-Agenda
0xc4c0916a958b6073d1d196c78064cc6e4150547e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-641.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 23?
7000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
3400 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-23.78
- YES
Will The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?
2426 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 23?
1833 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
1740 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-13.92
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
1618 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
1500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will Aperture - Harry Styles be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?
1309 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-105.92
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
1170 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?$2.41Jan 28, 21:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Caroline Ellison launch a coin by January 31?$1.23Jan 28, 21:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keir Starmer say "Thank you" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$4.61Jan 28, 21:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?$28.32Jan 28, 21:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?$101.53Jan 28, 17:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?$157.10Jan 28, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$5.00Jan 28, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$2.00Jan 28, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill End of Beginning - Djo be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$4.77Jan 28, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill End of Beginning - Djo be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$2.00Jan 28, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill End of Beginning - Djo be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$1.00Jan 28, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill End of Beginning - Djo be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$1.03Jan 28, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aperture - Harry Styles be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$17.82Jan 28, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aperture - Harry Styles be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$8.00Jan 28, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aperture - Harry Styles be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$3.90Jan 28, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aperture - Harry Styles be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$2.09Jan 28, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aperture - Harry Styles be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$1.00Jan 28, 15:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of January?$48.43Jan 28, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer say "Thank you" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$18.00Jan 27, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be -8°C on January 27?$10.30Jan 27, 05:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $17.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 26, 18:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 28, 21:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.