Nocturnal-Dare
0xc4c2291aca295bbe9a2a3277bd623a52262f7da2
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$62.82
Total PnL
$-88.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?
161 shares @ 9.9¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$14.48
$-1.52
- YES
Will Bolivia win on 2026-06-06?
115 shares @ 13.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$14.42
$-0.58
- YES
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-06?
150 shares @ 10.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$13.50
$-1.50
- YES
Will Chile win on 2026-06-06?
143 shares @ 7.0¢·now 6.7¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$9.57
$-0.43
- YES
Will Bermuda win on 2026-06-06?
324 shares @ 4.3¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$7.29
$-6.71
- YES
Will Peru win on 2026-06-08?
71 shares @ 5.6¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$3.55
$-0.45
- MATEUS ALVES
ITF Cuiaba: Mateus Alves vs Nick Hardt
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Nicaragua win on 2026-06-05?
1510 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-29.49
- YES
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-06-05?
700 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-28.00
- YES
Will Paraguay vs. Nicaragua end in a draw?
400 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bermuda win on 2026-06-06?$14.40Jun 6, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chile win on 2026-06-06?$10.28Jun 6, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tunisia win on 2026-06-06?$15.40Jun 6, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Peru win on 2026-06-08?$4.11Jun 6, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bolivia win on 2026-06-06?$15.39Jun 6, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar win on 2026-06-18?$16.43Jun 6, 02:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Canada vs. Republic of Ireland end in a draw?$76.13Jun 6, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Republic of Ireland win on 2026-06-05?$9.26Jun 6, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada vs. Republic of Ireland end in a draw?$10.26Jun 6, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Republic of Ireland win on 2026-06-05?$19.55Jun 6, 00:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$1.30Jun 6, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$5.29Jun 6, 00:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$3.21Jun 6, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$5.27Jun 6, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMITF Cuiaba: Gustavo Ribeiro De Almeida vs Carlos Maria Zarate$0.00Jun 5, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay vs. Nicaragua end in a draw?$5.15Jun 5, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF Cuiaba: Gustavo Ribeiro De Almeida vs Carlos Maria Zarate$4.12Jun 5, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF Cuiaba: Mateus Alves vs Nick Hardt$10.30Jun 5, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay vs. Nicaragua end in a draw?$5.14Jun 5, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicaragua win on 2026-06-05?$1.03Jun 5, 23:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $11.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 5, 23:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 02:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".