Wallet digest

Activity score

15/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

200

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-480.66

Realised

$-243.39

Win rate

200 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 200

UP
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
3 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026
$0.00
$-1.00
UP
XRP Up or Down - March 30, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
2 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026
$0.00
$-1.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
2 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026
$0.00
$-1.06
UP
XRP Up or Down - March 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
2 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026
$0.00
$-1.06
UP
Solana Up or Down - March 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
2 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026
$0.00
$-1.06
DOWN
XRP Up or Down - April 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026
$0.00
$-1.04
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 21, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
2 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026
$0.00
$-0.99
DOWN
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 24, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
2 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026
$0.00
$-0.98
DOWN
BNB Up or Down - April 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
2 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026
$0.00
$-1.58
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026
$0.00
$-1.06

Recent activity

REDEEMBNB Up or Down - April 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$0.00Apr 28, 06:52 UTC
REDEEMXRP Up or Down - April 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$0.00Apr 28, 06:52 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$0.00Apr 28, 06:52 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET$0.00Apr 28, 06:52 UTC
REDEEMSolana Up or Down - April 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$0.00Apr 28, 06:52 UTC
REDEEMSolana Up or Down - April 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$0.00Apr 28, 06:52 UTC
REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$0.00Apr 28, 06:52 UTC
REDEEMSolana Up or Down - April 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$0.00Apr 28, 06:51 UTC
REDEEMXRP Up or Down - April 7, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$0.00Apr 28, 06:51 UTC
REDEEMSolana Up or Down - April 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$0.00Apr 28, 06:51 UTC
REDEEMHyperliquid Up or Down - April 25, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$0.00Apr 28, 06:51 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$0.00Apr 28, 06:51 UTC
REDEEMBNB Up or Down - March 26, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$0.00Apr 28, 06:51 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 20, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$0.00Apr 28, 06:51 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 20, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$0.00Apr 28, 06:51 UTC
REDEEMSolana Up or Down - April 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$0.00Apr 28, 06:51 UTC
REDEEMBNB Up or Down - March 31, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$0.00Apr 28, 06:51 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$0.00Apr 28, 06:51 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 27, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$0.00Apr 28, 06:51 UTC
REDEEMSolana Up or Down - March 30, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$0.00Apr 28, 06:51 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Wallet edge sanity

Attention signal

68/100

read-only

Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.

Required before treating wallet flow as useful

Resolved-only performance

0% win rate over 200 closed markets.

Copy-lag simulation

A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.

Liquidity and exit

Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.

Resolution-source risk

The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.

Survivorship bias

Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.

Wallet intelligence filter

Watch only

14/100

no PredictFoliopaper-only

Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.

Wallet signal

missing

No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.

Resolved-only track record

pass

200 closed markets, 0% win rate.

Cost / slippage

missing

No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.

Resolution risk

missing

No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.

Market liquidity

missing

No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.

Copy-lag simulation

missing

No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.

Paper-only attribution

missing

No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity0 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence100 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry89 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk20 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 0
Avg trade size: $0.00
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Apr 28, 06:49 UTC
Last active: Apr 28, 06:52 UTC
Win rate sample: 200 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 10:00:45 UTC·src:Polymarket Data