Beneficial-Necklace
0xc4c5958a90dc46514bfb1a2562f2e5eca96a12fd
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$27.11
Total PnL
$0.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
9 shares @ 33.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$8.94
$5.99
- YES
Will the Champions League Final be decided in regular time?
5 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$5.49
$1.54
- YES
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
5 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$5.26
$1.26
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?
4 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.09
$0.49
- YES
Will Lee Jun-seok win 3rd place in the South Korean presidential election?
3 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$3.33
$0.33
- YES
Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?
6 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-3.50
- YES
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2025 FedEx Cup?
6 shares @ 49.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.89
- YES
Will the Detroit Tigers win the AL Central Division?
4 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.35
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Champions League Final be decided in regular time?$3.95May 26, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scottie Scheffler win the 2025 FedEx Cup?$2.89May 26, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Detroit Tigers win the AL Central Division?$2.35May 26, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$2.95May 26, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?$3.50May 26, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Jun-seok win 3rd place in the South Korean presidential election?$3.00May 26, 12:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?$0.00May 26, 12:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Daniel Noboa win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election? $5.17May 6, 12:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$13.16May 6, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?$4.00Apr 11, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$10.00Apr 11, 21:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 President’s Trophy?$5.47Apr 11, 21:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $4,500.00 by March 31?$2.45Apr 11, 21:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump say "Crypto" 10+ times during Crypto Summit on Friday?$0.00Apr 11, 21:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kanye launch a coin by March 7?$3.04Apr 11, 21:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $80 in March?$3.38Apr 11, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $4,500.00 by March 31?$2.40Mar 6, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kanye launch a coin by March 7?$3.00Mar 6, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?$3.60Mar 6, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $80 in March?$3.00Mar 6, 17:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $4.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 19, 22:36 UTC
- Last active
- May 26, 12:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.