Ethical-Variability
0xc4c5a0d559da77aee8c1caf519f33e169d6721e0
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-64.93
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
226 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.13
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on April 6?
186 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.98
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 1?
183 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.47
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on January 27?
157 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.82
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 26?
129 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.62
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 29?
106 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.98
- YES
Will Solana reach $90 May 18-24?
99 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.39
- UP
BNB Up or Down - March 24, 12AM ET
91 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.46
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on January 21?
84 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-6.15
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 26?
80 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.73
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 4?$221.38Jun 4, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 4?$218.94Jun 4, 01:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 28?$187.00May 28, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 28?$185.13May 27, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 27?$1.61May 27, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $90 May 18-24?$1.49May 24, 15:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2,100 May 11-17?$65.56May 18, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,100 May 11-17?$1.26May 17, 11:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 10?$243.33May 10, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 10?$241.14May 10, 03:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 18?$55.24May 10, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on April 27?$1.96Apr 27, 00:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $1.45 on April 15?$214.29Apr 27, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 18?$52.20Apr 17, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.45 on April 15?$212.79Apr 16, 01:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 22?$0.00Apr 15, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 11?$3.13Apr 11, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on April 6?$3.21Apr 6, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 1?$1.58Mar 31, 23:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on January 27?$0.00Mar 31, 13:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $59.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 28, 19:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 18:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.