Slippery-Convection
0xc4c8ba00c73713e5371e5178066e3f55c0c2fed1
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.6K
Realised
$97.63
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the match end in a draw?
7861 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.8K
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 49°F or higher on November 27?
1517 shares @ 75.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
1000 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-810.00
- NETS
Nets vs. Mavericks
600 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWorld Test Championship: Australia vs England (Game 4) - Match goes to Day 3?$980.00Jan 5, 12:30 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: December$3.0KJan 5, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Test Championship: Australia vs England (Game 4) - Match goes to Day 3?$979.02Dec 27, 06:31 UTC
- TRADESELLLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$980.80Dec 27, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 December 8-14?$1.0KDec 16, 00:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3,800 December 8-14?$1.0KDec 16, 00:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 December 8-14?$1.0KDec 16, 00:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $76,000 December 8-14?$2.5KDec 16, 00:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $104,000 December 8-14?$2.5KDec 16, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$160.54Dec 13, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$4.31Dec 13, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$162.99Dec 13, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$84.29Dec 13, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$42.00Dec 13, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$545.46Dec 13, 04:05 UTC
- TRADESELLNets vs. Mavericks$188.00Dec 13, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYNets vs. Mavericks$25.54Dec 13, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYNets vs. Mavericks$14.46Dec 13, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYNets vs. Mavericks$60.00Dec 13, 03:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$10.00Dec 13, 03:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $1.0K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 10, 14:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 5, 12:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.