Thorough-Effacement
0xc4ccb11bd9e2f04832fbf62976f2e7a88e6fd9f6
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$91.21
Total PnL
$0.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
46 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$45.98
$-0.02
- NO
Will Ta'Niya Latson win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?
11 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp Sep 25, 2026$10.78
$-0.02
- NO
Will Amazon have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.34
$-0.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 90°F or higher on June 6?
10 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$9.82
$0.02
- NO
Will gemini-3.1-pro-preview be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
3 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$2.67
$0.01
- NO
Will Nell Angloma win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.4¢·exp Sep 25, 2026$1.77
$-0.01
- YES
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.72
$0.01
- NO
Will claude-opus-4-7-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$1.71
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on June 6?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$1.44
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on June 6?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$1.29
$0.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on June 6?$1.28Jun 6, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on June 6?$1.26Jun 6, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on June 6?$1.29Jun 6, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on June 6?$1.12Jun 6, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on June 6?$1.44Jun 6, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 90°F or higher on June 6?$9.80Jun 6, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?$10.36Jun 6, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill claude-opus-4-7-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?$1.70Jun 6, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill gemini-3.1-pro-preview be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?$2.66Jun 6, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?$1.71Jun 6, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nell Angloma win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?$1.78Jun 6, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ta'Niya Latson win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?$10.80Jun 6, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$46.01Jun 6, 20:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $12.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 20, 04:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.