Gentle-Holiday
0xc4cf16a59929ec0912faa2a8986e11718f7558de
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-31.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland?
250 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will OpenAI be for-profit by March?
57 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Respiratory illness surge in China declared a global pandemic by Feb 1?
21 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland?$25.00Dec 1, 13:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sam Altman be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year?$0.00Dec 10, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sam Altman be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year?$2.00Dec 2, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI be for-profit by March?$5.00Dec 2, 01:09 UTC
- REDEEMOpenAI board out by end of week?$0.00Dec 2, 01:05 UTC
- REDEEMEmmett Shear still CEO of OpenAI by end of week?$0.00Dec 2, 01:05 UTC
- REDEEMOpenAI permanent CEO by Dec 31?$0.00Dec 2, 01:05 UTC
- REDEEMSam back as CEO of OpenAI?$0.00Dec 2, 01:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last 8 days?$0.00Dec 2, 01:05 UTC
- REDEEMEmmett Shear still CEO of OpenAI by end of week?$0.00Dec 2, 01:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last 8 days?$0.00Dec 2, 01:05 UTC
- REDEEMEmmett Shear still CEO of OpenAI by end of week?$0.00Dec 2, 01:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last 8 days?$53.57Dec 2, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYRespiratory illness surge in China declared a global pandemic by Feb 1?$1.00Nov 26, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last 8 days?$15.00Nov 26, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYEmmett Shear still CEO of OpenAI by end of week?$1.00Nov 22, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI board out by end of week?$1.00Nov 22, 10:23 UTC
- TRADESELLOpenAI permanent CEO by Dec 31?$19.79Nov 22, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Snoop smoke again in 2023?$33.33Nov 22, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYSam back as CEO of OpenAI?$5.00Nov 21, 00:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $13.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 13, 00:37 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 1, 13:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".