0xc4d2a3cba0e3c0c237d6eed7d0ed134a652873c2
0xc4d2a3cba0e3c0c237d6eed7d0ed134a652873c2
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$398.43
Win rate
61%
61 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 12-15%?
165 shares @ 11.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$165.00
$146.85
- YES
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 15-18%?
158 shares @ 73.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$157.61
$41.22
- NO
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
120 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$120.00
$32.40
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
105 shares @ 65.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$105.00
$36.01
- YES
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?
75 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$75.00
$24.75
- YES
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
135 shares @ 43.8¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$65.47
$6.35
- NO
Will more than 2.8 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day by November 16?
60 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$60.00
$22.80
- YES
Will Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?
40 shares @ 75.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$39.99
$9.85
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
35 shares @ 54.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$35.00
$16.03
- NO
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
30 shares @ 42.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$30.00
$17.25
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUkraine hits Moscow by December 31?$6.60Dec 27, 12:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?$12.75Nov 20, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?$0.60Nov 18, 18:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?$0.60Nov 18, 18:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Monad perform an airdrop by November 30? $0.58Nov 18, 12:19 UTC
- TRADESELLLarger Margin of Victory: Mamdani vs Prop 50?$0.07Nov 12, 19:08 UTC
- TRADESELLLarger Margin of Victory: Mamdani vs Prop 50?$0.07Nov 12, 19:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Government shutdown end by November 15?$0.75Nov 11, 18:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Government shutdown end by November 15?$0.75Nov 11, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?$5.25Nov 11, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$4.65Nov 11, 13:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$1.33Nov 11, 05:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$1.33Nov 11, 05:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$1.33Nov 11, 05:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$1.33Nov 11, 05:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Ahmed al-Sharaa not shake hands on November 10 2025?$0.24Nov 11, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Ahmed al-Sharaa not shake hands on November 10 2025?$0.15Nov 11, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Ahmed al-Sharaa not shake hands on November 10 2025?$0.15Nov 11, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?$10.65Nov 11, 01:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?$4.50Nov 11, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $3.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 10, 20:38 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 27, 12:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 61 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".