Impossible-Loss-Wafer
0xc4d385503251ec63d06e29b91346ef964a415639
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-10.2K
Realised
$-229.79
Win rate
0%
200 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- MICHEL PEREIRA
UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Shara Magomedov (Middleweight, Main Card)
2168 shares @ 23.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-509.39
- VALENTIN ROYER
Wimbledon ATP: Valentin Royer vs Alexander Zverev
713 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-35.65
- FELIX GILL
Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Felix Gill
598 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-101.72
- NICOLAS MEJIA
Wimbledon ATP: Nicolas Mejia vs Michael Zheng
585 shares @ 18.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-110.53
- OKSANA SELEKHMETEVA
Wimbledon WTA: Emma Navarro vs Oksana Selekhmeteva
543 shares @ 17.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-95.30
- UNDER
Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5
514 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-246.95
- UNDER
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 178.5
484 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-232.18
- PORTLANDFIRE
Spread: Chicago Sky (-5.5)
483 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-222.37
- OVER
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 4.5
461 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-46.10
- ETHAN QUINN
Mallorca Championships: Ethan Quinn vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
417 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-166.92
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs$1.08Aug 16, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYTexas Rangers vs. Athletics$1.35Aug 16, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Talia Gibson$1.05Aug 16, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYTexas Rangers vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5$1.97Aug 16, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta$1.22Aug 16, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta$1.97Aug 16, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Chicago Sky (-2.5)$2.35Aug 16, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Atlanta Dream (-2.5)$2.60Aug 16, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYDallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 163.5$3.67Aug 16, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Mirra Andreeva$1.45Aug 16, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5$5.93Aug 16, 13:23 UTC
- REDEEMMilwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$4.89Aug 16, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Open: Peyton Stearns vs Clara Tauson$6.16Aug 16, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 330: Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore (Middleweight, Early Prelims)$25.20Aug 15, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYTexas Rangers vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5$1.26Aug 15, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBaltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5$1.58Aug 15, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Hubert Hurkacz$1.99Aug 15, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Open: Terence Atmane vs Tomas Etcheverry$2.53Aug 15, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 330: Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore (Middleweight, Early Prelims)$3.16Aug 15, 19:56 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: New York Liberty (-8.5)$4.19Aug 15, 19:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
65/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 200 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 29/100.
200 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $10.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 14, 12:41 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 16, 20:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 200 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.