Unpleasant-Miracle
0xc4d679e669c2bb5870781235ae8a409837fe966b
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
162
Open notional
$577.35
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$610.50
Win rate
71%
59 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 162- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3777 shares @ 8.8¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$296.49
$-36.32
- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11111 shares @ 1.4¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$150.00
$-5.56
- YES
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
22222 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$55.55
$-11.11
- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
2222 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$24.44
$-2.22
- YES
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11111 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$16.67
$-5.56
- YES
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11111 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$16.67
$-5.56
- YES
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1805 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$15.34
$-0.90
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
507 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 29, 2026$1.78
$0.76
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
2 shares @ 31.2¢·now 23.8¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.41
$-0.13
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on April 17?
6972 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.98
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$9.25Jun 13, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$15.62Jun 13, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.25Jun 13, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.54Jun 13, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$1.01Jun 13, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$0.00Jun 13, 17:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$16.01Jun 13, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$0.53Jun 13, 17:04 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$39.52Jun 13, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$16.50Jun 13, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$7.20Jun 13, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$2.94Jun 13, 16:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$7.81Jun 13, 16:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.18Jun 13, 16:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.00Jun 13, 16:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.00Jun 13, 16:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.01Jun 13, 16:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.01Jun 13, 16:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.00Jun 13, 16:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.00Jun 13, 16:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 15:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 18:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 59 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.