Artistic-Dragonfruit
0xc4d68280bfd7130e5377d6ec8c08716057a45411
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$25.98
Total PnL
$0.81
Realised
$-1.19
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?
144 shares @ 7.0¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$16.19
$6.15
- YES
Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score below 1480?
138 shares @ 6.9¢·now 7.1¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$9.78
$0.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?
8 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.35
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?$4.44May 31, 11:05 UTC
- REWARD$4.50May 30, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMThunder vs. Spurs$0.00May 29, 21:45 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Thunder (-6.5)$0.00May 29, 21:45 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Spurs (-3.5)$0.00May 29, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spurs (-3.5)$6.13May 29, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score below 1480?$0.12May 29, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score below 1480?$7.15May 29, 00:06 UTC
- REWARD$4.84May 29, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?$2.10May 28, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score below 1480?$0.12May 28, 23:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?$2.70May 28, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?$12.26May 28, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?$1.45May 28, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?$0.50May 28, 23:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?$0.06May 28, 22:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?$1.74May 28, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?$3.11May 28, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score below 1480?$1.45May 28, 21:48 UTC
- MERGEWill the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score below 1480?$66.00May 28, 21:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $4.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 28, 19:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 11:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".