Everlasting-Pupa
0xc4dca8dec1c554ae1dd81b67e5f470102a86b42d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
98
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-349.01
Realised
$-5.77
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 98- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
222 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump say "AUKUS" during Australia PM events on October 20?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Qairat FK win on 2025-11-05?
71 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
59 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Aussie" during Australia PM events on October 20?
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
50 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.35
- YES
Will Trump say "Pacific" during Australia PM events on October 20?
34 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Rameshbabu Praggnanandhaa win the 2025 FIDE World Cup?
33 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2025 FIDE World Cup?
33 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Ian Nepomniachtchi win the 2025 FIDE World Cup?
30 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-2.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?$2.00Jan 25, 17:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-21?$1.28Jan 25, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-21?$1.00Jan 21, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-01-18?$1.31Jan 18, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-01-18?$0.64Jan 18, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$2.35Jan 17, 20:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-17?$5.25Jan 17, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-17?$3.00Jan 17, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?$3.00Jan 16, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-18?$3.00Jan 16, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?$3.00Jan 16, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-17?$3.00Jan 16, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?$3.00Jan 16, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?$3.00Jan 11, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$3.00Jan 11, 00:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-07?$5.00Jan 7, 22:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-06?$5.00Jan 7, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-07?$2.85Jan 7, 19:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Senegal win on 2025-12-30?$3.90Jan 6, 21:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nigeria win on 2025-12-30?$6.52Jan 6, 21:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $3.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 22, 23:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 25, 17:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".