Pessimistic-Assertion
0xc4e8c6abc462e8b9331d0c45dff21e8c64905012
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-211.68
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Santa deliver more than 8,400,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?
5100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-102.00
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
680 shares @ 10.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-68.68
- NO
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- PARIVISION
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner
200 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$68.68Apr 7, 23:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?$9.22Mar 25, 14:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?$52.96Mar 25, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?$18.15Mar 25, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?$24.00Mar 25, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?$2.67Mar 25, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?$3.18Mar 25, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner$40.00Mar 23, 20:00 UTC
- TRADESELLEdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?$100.80Mar 21, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?$100.80Mar 19, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Axiom be accused of insider trading?$1.00Feb 26, 13:43 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$71.06Feb 9, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$56.16Feb 9, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$1.00Feb 9, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$5.48Feb 9, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$0.00Feb 9, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$6.68Feb 9, 17:15 UTC
- TRADESELLTrove FDV above $2M one day after launch?$63.76Jan 19, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrove FDV above $2M one day after launch?$61.00Jan 19, 23:45 UTC
- REDEEMalon called coin FDV above $1M one day after the call?$178.05Jan 16, 14:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $44.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 19, 20:58 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 7, 23:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.