Wobbly-Appearance
0xc4e94b11bb46f465a0c99da510be0f43add65ec6
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-74.57
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will XRP dip to $1.80 December 29-January 4?
277 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.21
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $150 and $160 on January 12?
274 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.37
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 January 5-11?
270 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.97
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $96,000 on January 5?
270 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-3.51
- UP
XRP Up or Down - January 12, 2AM ET
268 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.63
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.30 on January 14?
266 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on January 5?
261 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.23
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on January 13?
260 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.60
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.20 on January 12?
246 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.97
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 10?
243 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.46
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 12?$2.20Jul 11, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 5?$1.42Jul 4, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 31?$3.73May 30, 18:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 26?$91.37May 26, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 26?$0.09May 25, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 26?$0.17May 25, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 26?$0.16May 25, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 26?$0.14May 25, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 26?$88.53May 25, 19:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 18?$85.43May 18, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 18?$83.12May 17, 20:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on March 31?$25.88May 17, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 15?$2.93May 15, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on May 11?$2.34May 10, 23:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 11?$81.33May 10, 23:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 14?$0.00Apr 28, 00:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $2.20 and $2.30 on January 11?$0.00Apr 18, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on April 16?$1.43Apr 16, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 11?$0.18Apr 11, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 11?$79.04Apr 11, 11:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $21.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 11, 11:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 17:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.