Improbable-Structure
0xc4ed5f075250c7be06da3bfd8346a45b2c82b501
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$18.23
Total PnL
$1.37
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
5 shares @ 54.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$5.39
$2.43
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 24, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
3 shares @ 30.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$3.30
$2.31
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 24, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
1 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$1.47
$0.49
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 21, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$1.36
$0.37
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$1.36
$0.37
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 22, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$1.26
$0.26
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 21, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$1.09
$0.09
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 21, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 23, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 21, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$1.00
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 24, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$1.00Jan 24, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$1.00Jan 24, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$1.00Jan 24, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$1.00Jan 24, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 24, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$1.00Jan 24, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 23, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$1.00Jan 23, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 23, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$1.00Jan 23, 16:19 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - January 22, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$2.51Jan 23, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 22, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$1.00Jan 23, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 22, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$1.00Jan 22, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 21, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$1.00Jan 22, 04:40 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - January 21, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$1.17Jan 22, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 21, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$1.00Jan 22, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 21, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$1.00Jan 21, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 21, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$1.00Jan 21, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 21, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$1.00Jan 21, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 21, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$1.00Jan 21, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 21, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$1.00Jan 21, 10:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$1.20Jan 21, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$1.00Jan 21, 10:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $1.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 03:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 24, 15:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".