Wallet digest

active

Activity score

58/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$2.00

Total PnL

$-0.25

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

MAGIC
Pistons vs. Magic
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2025
$2.00
$0.82
YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?
1070 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2025
$0.00
$-1.07

Recent activity

REDEEMNuggets vs. Timberwolves$0.00Jan 27, 21:56 UTC
REDEEMPacers vs. Spurs$0.00Jan 27, 21:55 UTC
REDEEMPenguins vs. Kraken$0.00Jan 27, 21:54 UTC
REDEEMCeltics vs. Mavericks$1.53Jan 27, 21:53 UTC
TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?$1.07Jan 25, 00:42 UTC
TRADEBUYNuggets vs. Timberwolves$1.15Jan 25, 00:42 UTC
TRADEBUYPacers vs. Spurs$1.06Jan 25, 00:42 UTC
TRADEBUYPenguins vs. Kraken$1.15Jan 25, 00:42 UTC
TRADEBUYCeltics vs. Mavericks$1.15Jan 25, 00:42 UTC
TRADEBUYPistons vs. Magic$1.18Jan 25, 00:42 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity21 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry50 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk68 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 6
Avg trade size: $1.13
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Jan 25, 00:42 UTC
Last active: Jan 27, 21:56 UTC
Win rate sample: 0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 19:46:59 UTC·src:Polymarket Data