Severe-Intentionality
0xc4f925fe2799df3c53f552545ee1fb0a8d328d24
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$22.08
Total PnL
$-38.08
Realised
$0.95
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C or higher on May 4?
65 shares @ 14.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$7.15
$-1.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C or higher on May 5?
14 shares @ 49.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp May 5, 2026$6.79
$-0.07
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 4?
8 shares @ 59.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp May 4, 2026$5.16
$0.44
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on May 4?
5 shares @ 58.5¢·now 35.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$1.75
$-1.18
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on May 4?
11 shares @ 26.0¢·now 8.7¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.99
$-1.98
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C or higher on May 5?
158 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.24
$-5.61
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 1?
37 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.29
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on May 3?
36 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-3.24
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on May 2?
19 shares @ 31.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-6.07
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 55°F or below on April 30?
15 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C or higher on May 5?$1.512h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 4?$4.512h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on May 4?$3.082h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 4?$4.972h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 4?$5.203h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C or higher on May 5?$5.535h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 4?$8.968h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on May 4?$3.098h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on May 4?$2.998h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 4?$1.409h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 4?$5.199h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on May 5?$0.0610h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on May 5?$0.0410h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on May 5?$1.9410h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on May 5?$0.0010h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on May 5?$0.0210h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 5?$1.3510h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 5?$0.0710h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 5?$1.3710h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 5?$0.6910h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 2d ago
- Last active
- 2h ago
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".