0xc4f9d151eeba82bbbe411e031e4216dc9583e61c
0xc4f9d151eeba82bbbe411e031e4216dc9583e61c
Wallet digest
Activity score
26/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$11.70
Total PnL
$-731.21
Realised
$-373.00
Win rate
0%
39 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- NO
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?
9 shares @ 99.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$9.11
$-0.14
- NO
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?
2 shares @ 92.8¢·now 92.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.48
$-0.01
- NO
Will Jeff Bezos be 2nd richest person on December 31?
1 shares @ 46.9¢·now 96.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.10
$0.56
- NO
Will Elon and DOGE cut less than $50b in federal spending in 2025?
345 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.18
- YES
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the March Meeting?
278 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-25.50
- YES
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the March decision?
211 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-16.37
- YES
Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?
128 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-11.51
- YES
Will Mexico’s February unemployment rate be 2.5%?
99 shares @ 25.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-25.50
- YES
Will Bitcoin be the top performing crypto for the week of March 16?
76 shares @ 17.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-13.50
- NO
Will the South African Reserve Bank make no change to the repo rate after the March meeting?
72 shares @ 16.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?$29.16May 7, 03:34 UTC
- REDEEMLille OSC leading at halftime?$22.84May 7, 03:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?$15.66May 7, 03:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Los Angeles Thieves win DreamHack Major 2?$6.06May 7, 03:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill 40-44 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?$5.00May 7, 03:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon and DOGE cut between $100-150b in federal spending in 2025?$1.87May 7, 03:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dilan Yeşilgöz-Zegerius become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$1.67May 7, 03:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Prizefighter' - Mumford and Sons debut week album sales be less than 200k?$1.15May 7, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on February 23?$89.61May 7, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico’s February unemployment rate be less than or equal to 2.4%?$56.00May 7, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gen.G win First Stand 2026?$55.25May 7, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike ≤1 countries in February 2026?$48.58May 7, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple (AAPL) close at $265-$270 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 23 – Feb 27?$41.67May 7, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico’s January unemployment rate be greater than or equal to 2.7%?$35.71May 7, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft (MSFT) close at $400-$410 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?$26.19May 7, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Stateside + Zara Larsson - PinkPantheress, Zara Larsson" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$25.53May 7, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?$20.00May 7, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. collect more than $2t in revenue in 2025?$18.62May 7, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?$17.16May 7, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude go down 9-10 times in March?$16.41May 7, 03:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 18:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 7, 03:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 39 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.