Haunting-Mistake
0xc4fc39e9dab12ab050acede26ca9f5eb5613821c
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$10.23
Total PnL
$-22.26
Realised
$16.91
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Kamala Harris announce California Governor run in 2025?
5 shares @ 39.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$5.00
$3.05
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
4 shares @ 73.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$4.08
$1.08
- YES
Will Justin Bieber's album 'SWAG' have over 150k sales in its first week?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$1.15
$0.15
- YES
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
83 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.69
- NO
Will Andrew Cuomo run as a non-Democrat in the general election?
74 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-39.75
- YES
Will Grok-4 be the top AI before August?
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Nvidia" during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?
3 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Andrew Cuomo run as a non-Democrat in the general election? $2.21Jul 13, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nvidia" during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?$1.00Jul 13, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Bieber's album 'SWAG' have over 150k sales in its first week?$1.00Jul 13, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grok-4 be the top AI before August?$1.00Jul 13, 02:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris announce California Governor run in 2025?$3.00Jul 13, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$3.00Jul 12, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$1.00Jul 3, 02:35 UTC
- REDEEMCeltics vs. Rockets$0.00Jul 3, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMPacers vs. Thunder$0.00Jul 3, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?$0.00Jul 3, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 317: Will Topuria To Win By KO/TKO/DQ?$4.39Jul 3, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo run as a non-Democrat in the general election? $53.00Jun 28, 01:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$12.54Jun 27, 14:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$12.50Jun 27, 14:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$18.43Jun 26, 18:06 UTC
- TRADESELLFordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?$9.79Jun 26, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 317: Will Topuria To Win By KO/TKO/DQ?$2.50Jun 26, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris announce California Governor run in 2025?$3.90Jun 26, 05:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$6.60Jun 26, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$9.00Jun 25, 23:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $6.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 2, 19:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 17:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".