Lost-Exasperation
0xc4fdef9d4edbfbbd8cd14a9a4cf7665c5c466578
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
102
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$65.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 102- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
4700 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-9.40
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
3500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- RAFAEL JODAR
Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- BULLS
Bulls vs. Spurs
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?
948 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-15.48
- YES
Netanyahu out by March 31?
700 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-18.90
- GRIZZLIES
Suns vs. Grizzlies
449 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.46
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 29?
400 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-8.80
- QUENTIN HALYS
Grand Prix Hassan II: Karim Bennani vs Quentin Halys
400 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-15.98
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
301 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-17?$29.85May 17, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-17?$20.42May 17, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYMadrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar$2.06Apr 29, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$2.52Apr 29, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$7.35Apr 29, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$7.35Apr 29, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?$43.00Apr 15, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Porto win on 2026-04-09?$15.30Apr 9, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 11?$7.00Apr 8, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 11?$4.40Apr 8, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhiladelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants$8.40Apr 8, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Magic$8.80Apr 8, 21:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 19?$0.00Apr 8, 21:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?$345.91Apr 8, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?$63.90Apr 8, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-04-05?$4.65Apr 5, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWild vs. Red Wings$6.40Apr 5, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-04-05?$3.20Apr 5, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWild vs. Red Wings$0.84Apr 5, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 6?$6.75Apr 5, 19:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $15.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 30, 14:53 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 16:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".