Pale-Stimulus
0xc501456a4b10520072b678068fa05b55d2af6eea
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$2.43
Total PnL
$-412.07
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
1 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$1.41
$0.41
- YES
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
1 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
581 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-70.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
563 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- NO
Will Mike Kafka be fired by February 28?
489 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
411 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
301 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-30.12
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
179 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-22.00
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 7, 2026?
136 shares @ 36.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
127 shares @ 29.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-37.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs NIP (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In$30.03Jan 30, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?$37.00Jan 30, 15:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $86,000 January 19-25?$1.03Jan 29, 19:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on January 24?$1.04Jan 29, 19:18 UTC
- REDEEMWizards vs. Hornets$1.22Jan 29, 19:18 UTC
- REDEEMRams vs. Seahawks$1.79Jan 29, 19:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on January 24?$2.05Jan 29, 19:18 UTC
- REDEEMPatriots vs. Broncos$2.94Jan 29, 19:18 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 24, 1PM ET$5.70Jan 29, 19:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $94,000 January 19-25?$11.53Jan 29, 19:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US strike Iraq next?$39.74Jan 29, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 24, 1PM ET$2.85Jan 24, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Los Ratones vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season$2.84Jan 24, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Iraq next?$39.42Jan 24, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Jan 24, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWizards vs. Hornets$1.00Jan 24, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $94,000 January 19-25?$2.18Jan 24, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $94,000 January 19-25?$2.28Jan 24, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $94,000 January 19-25?$2.41Jan 24, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $94,000 January 19-25?$2.53Jan 24, 14:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $18.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 6, 17:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 30, 16:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.