Flawed-Ship
0xc50c05d454f0681ea57b254df8ad97bc210f3017
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
166
Open notional
$44.46
Total PnL
$-312.59
Realised
$449.59
Win rate
53%
40 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 166- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 27?
24 shares @ 70.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$17.01
$-0.12
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 28?
10 shares @ 66.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$6.40
$0.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 28?
9 shares @ 66.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$5.91
$0.09
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 27?
1 shares @ 71.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$1.01
$0.03
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 27?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$1.01
$-0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 27?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 58.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.95
$-0.03
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 27?
1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.90
$0.03
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the TN-04 House seat?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.88
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on July 27?
1 shares @ 62.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.86
$-0.04
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 26?
2 shares @ 39.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$0.84
$0.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 27?$8.08Jul 26, 12:31 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 27?$2.05Jul 26, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 27?$1.54Jul 26, 12:30 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 27?$12.75Jul 26, 12:28 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on July 28?$20.00Jul 26, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 27?$0.78Jul 26, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 28?$5.82Jul 26, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 28?$5.82Jul 26, 12:28 UTC
- MERGEWill Houston Texans finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most sacks?$20.47Jul 26, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 27?$4.83Jul 26, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on July 28?$9.85Jul 26, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Houston Texans finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most sacks?$17.72Jul 26, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Houston Texans finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most sacks?$2.87Jul 26, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on July 28?$10.15Jul 26, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 27?$8.89Jul 26, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 27?$14.00Jul 26, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 27?$3.14Jul 26, 12:21 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 28?$5.00Jul 26, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 28?$3.36Jul 26, 12:20 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 28?$1.67Jul 26, 12:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
60/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
53% win rate over 40 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 39/100.
40 closed markets, 53% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $13.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 26, 11:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 26, 12:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 40 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.