Fat-Harmonise
0xc512e35ae933b8e7e6919e098ecaef9ae1fc7fdf
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.6K
Realised
$-80.00
Win rate
47%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 11?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on June 8?
758 shares @ 12.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-92.38
- YES
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-07-18?
600 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.60
- YES
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?
470 shares @ 31.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?
456 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-332.66
- YES
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?
455 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?
450 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?
441 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Will New Zealand vs. Belgium end in a draw?
417 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?
408 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMVancouver: Keegan Rice vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz$5.00Jul 29, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYVancouver: Keegan Rice vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz$1.52Jul 29, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYVancouver: Keegan Rice vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz$1.83Jul 29, 06:25 UTC
- REWARD$2.04Jul 29, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLVancouver: Kayla Day vs Mai Hontama$2.94Jul 28, 20:36 UTC
- TRADESELLGNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FC Thun: Team to Advance$0.05Jul 28, 20:36 UTC
- TRADESELLMubadala Citi DC Open: Marcos Giron vs Cruz Hewitt$4.99Jul 28, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa win on 2026-07-28?$1.65Jul 28, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYMubadala Citi DC Open: Marcos Giron vs Cruz Hewitt$2.85Jul 28, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYGNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FC Thun: Team to Advance$4.90Jul 28, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYVancouver: Kayla Day vs Mai Hontama$3.16Jul 28, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYMubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zheng$3.01Jul 28, 19:18 UTC
- TRADESELLRīga FC vs. FK Vardar Skopje: Team to Advance$4.95Jul 28, 19:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 28?$3.80Jul 28, 18:52 UTC
- TRADESELLGNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FC Thun: Team to Advance$0.10Jul 28, 18:49 UTC
- TRADESELLThe Memphis Classic: Xiyu Wang vs Caty McNally$1.69Jul 28, 18:09 UTC
- TRADESELLITF Florence: Kaitlyn Carnicella vs Ekaterina Khayrutdinova$4.17Jul 28, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYGNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FC Thun: Team to Advance$4.04Jul 28, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYRīga FC vs. FK Vardar Skopje: Team to Advance$4.62Jul 28, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 28?$0.60Jul 28, 17:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
41/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
47% win rate over 15 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
15 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $3.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 13:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 07:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.