Bogus-Tug
0xc51453982e572830021b876da5d55d14b1b27b0c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
42
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-87.84
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
6000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 6PM ET
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by February 28?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will there be at least 1,150 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
198 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.30
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
93 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-6.99
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
69 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump declare war on Iran by February 28, 2026?
63 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the US next strike Iran during the week of March 1-7, 2026 (ET)?$0.00Feb 28, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran during the week of March 1-7, 2026 (ET)?$2.36Feb 28, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 6PM ET$2.00Feb 28, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1,150 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?$2.00Feb 27, 21:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$4.19Feb 27, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$2.00Feb 27, 21:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$4.24Feb 27, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$1.63Feb 27, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$2.00Feb 27, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$2.00Feb 27, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$2.00Feb 27, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$2.00Feb 27, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$1.00Feb 27, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$2.00Feb 27, 21:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$5.28Feb 27, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$2.00Feb 27, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$2.00Feb 27, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$0.00Feb 26, 21:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$0.00Feb 26, 21:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$3.54Feb 26, 21:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $2.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 26, 19:46 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 16:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".