Lasting-Embellishment-Snack
0xc519f609e4c60ebbc262e261b12a1973aed59251
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$590.95
Total PnL
$-146.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $150 end of July?
450 shares @ 80.4¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$317.51
$-44.60
- YES
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?
365 shares @ 48.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$273.44
$98.44
- NO
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8?
385 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX (SPCX) close above $150 end of July?$352.40Jul 9, 04:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX (SPCX) close above $140 end of July?$95.12Jul 9, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX (SPCX) close above $140 end of July?$450.00Jul 9, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?$178.64Jul 9, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX (SPCX) close above $150 end of July?$9.71Jul 9, 02:44 UTC
- TRADESELLPoilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?$95.50Jul 9, 02:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?$97.27Jul 9, 02:41 UTC
- TRADESELLDoug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?$121.51Jul 9, 02:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alberta vote for independence in 2026?$4.99Jul 9, 02:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?$5.16Jul 9, 02:40 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?$164.66Jul 9, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Graham Platner drop out by July 8?$200.00Jul 8, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alberta vote for independence in 2026?$5.00Jul 6, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?$5.06Jul 6, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?$100.92Jul 6, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYPoilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?$100.20Jul 6, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYDoug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?$126.00Jul 6, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?$219.64Jul 5, 15:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
18 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $129.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 5, 15:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 04:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.