Orange-Barn
0xc51ade49265b2e51c50488b63f0fddeaf37d417d
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$-31.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
1880 shares @ 64.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.1K
$-84.60
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
1056 shares @ 35.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$427.68
$58.08
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
23406 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-11.7K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12PM ET
22745 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-11.4K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3PM ET
9097 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-4.5K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10AM ET
6270 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-3.1K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
1892 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-946.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.14Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 21, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 10, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 9, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 8, 00:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 7, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 4, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 3, 00:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
1/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.