Golden-War
0xc51dbb3940f7d7b4cad5cc9d250b5d559907373b
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
81
Open notional
$32.96
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-0.90
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 81- NO
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?
13 shares @ 37.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.15
$8.15
- YES
Natural Disaster in 2026?
38 shares @ 52.0¢·now 26.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
714 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.36
$0.36
- YES
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
13 shares @ 40.0¢·now 21.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.63
$-2.38
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
111 shares @ 4.5¢·now 1.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.83
$-3.17
- YES
Will Israel strike 3 countries in November 2025?
642 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
429 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?
400 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end by January 31?
333 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?
333 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 5, 00:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 4, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 14?$20.00Mar 3, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 7?$20.00Mar 3, 01:10 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$147.06Feb 28, 20:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 28, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on March 4, 2026 (ET)?$10.00Feb 27, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on March 1, 2026 (ET)?$10.00Feb 27, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on March 2, 2026 (ET)?$10.00Feb 27, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on March 3, 2026 (ET)?$10.00Feb 27, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?$10.00Feb 27, 18:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 27, 01:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 23, 00:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 22, 00:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 19, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike 4 countries in February 2026?$10.00Feb 18, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?$2.00Feb 18, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)?$2.00Feb 18, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?$2.00Feb 18, 21:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $13.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 31, 03:22 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".